Three Factors That Will Drive Oil Prices Higher

For the rest of 2016, Moors expects WTI crude oil to trade in a range of around $40 per barrel minimum and rise to a range of $60 per barrel in 2017.
Despite that forecast, the markets have seen near-term fluctuations. In late July, markets reacted to a drop in oil prices. WTI crude oil price fell to $42.41 per barrel, the lowest price since mid-April, when it closed at $39.78. Futures dropped 12.2%. The Brent crude price per barrel was down 11% in late July.

Why such a relatively steep decline? Some analysts are concerned about rising supplies of oil in the United States. You see, the Baker Hughes (NYSE: BHI) oil rig count has been climbing. During July, BHI reported that active rigs were increasing for the four straight weeks.

A rise in rig count during 2015 led to a drop in crude oil prices of 50%. Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) estimates that supply outside of the OPEC producers will climb this year – and that crude prices per barrel will bottom at $35 in 2016.

Moors cautions that the pullback in oil prices is a normal market fluctuation, and oil won’t fall as low as Morgan Stanley predicts.

He cites three reason that support his $50 per barrel price range this year – and a rise to a $60 range for WTI per barrel in 2017.

The first bullish factor for oil prices is peaking worldwide output.

In the early part of the year, output by OPEC hit more than 32 million barrels daily, its highest level in nearly two decades. Output in Russia reached nearly 11 million barrels, the highest level in three decades.

Moors observes that production in the U.S. from shale is reaching a high as well. You see, tight oil wells and shale oil wells pump the majority of their production within the first year and a half.

According to Moors, production of oil by shale drilling, though, becomes expensive. As a result, oil companies are moving to a type of well dubbed “drilled but uncompleted” (DUC). As the term implies, a DUC hasn’t reached its output peak. They still have oil, so oil companies are going back to them.

Why? They are more affordable than other methods of obtaining oil.
DUCs are slowly being used to supplant shale as an oil supply source. The oil companies don’t want more supply flooding the market.

As Moors puts it, “an increase in DUCs doesn’t mean we are approaching some major boost in production. But they also represent another element restraining the slide in prices.”

The second factor supporting a bullish oil price forecast is falling supply due to the financial situation at oil companies. They can’t afford to keep wells working when their product commands just $46 per barrel at the market.

Over the past two years, supply has been on a steady downward march – which Moors estimates will not reverse soon. According to the BHI rig count, active U.S. oil rigs totaled 337 in late June. At its peak two years ago? Rigs totaled approximately 1,600. That’s a whopping decline of nearly 79%.
Because oil rigs can cost between $500,000 to $3 million to operate and maintain, it is not cost-effective to keep them going until crude oil starts to hit $65 per barrel. Production may ramp up when it hits that level. Most companies need WTI crude to be close to $70 per barrel before they hit reasonable profitability.

So, the BHI rig count shows that the oil companies are shutting down more and more oil rigs. Essentially, we will see a dropping count until supply is constrained enough to drive prices higher.

Alcohol and Drugs Cause Extremely Painful Death

The longer one lives, the more adept one becomes at reading the signs. My experience of dying and reincarnation is insight into the role of death and how everyone has returned as we are in the last days. The great population explosion is the result. Many come back to what they knew in their last life and that leads to addictions and a repeat of the same behaviour. Over the years of watching the number of things that cause death has grown and the pain of dying increased as evil is protected.

In these latter years there are far more things to cause addiction than ever. In my young days the war had handicapped the economy and the loss of men required to service industry was great. There were no luxury items available and alcohol and drugs were practically unknown in communities where such would not have been tolerated.

As the populations recovered, however, things took a different turn. A new industrial revolution began with food and alcohol leading the way. These were the chief money cows of the economy until fashion and other things came to the fore. Hollywood showed their audiences how good life can be with addiction to wealth and the use of drugs.

The economy is thriving and the greatest income is made from drugs and fashion. It is now the ‘norm’ for tattoos, body piercings, hard drugs, and other things to be a part of one’s social life. All of these things make cancer and other scenarios possible.

Parties with drugs and alcohol involved often result in brawls, stabbings, and murder. There have been many violent incidences recently in Australia where uninvited guests ordered to leave parties have turned violent. They have killed for the sake of a few free drinks and are now in jail.

There is another more insidious death awaiting users of alcohol and drugs. It has to do with cancer, loss of brain function, or other things like homelessness, inability to work, and rejection by family and society. There are no answers to these problems because what they do is legal and the system is built for making money and putting lives at risk.

Individuals cannot wake up who are constantly seeking more alcohol or drugs to feed their addiction. They are like fish caught on hooks being gathered to another feast of the same. Their ultimate death is often excruciating and lonely and all because of money.

Travel and Tourism Degree and Certificate Options

Enrollment in an accredited school or college can help you find your way to an exciting career. There are different opportunities available to help prepare for numerous professions inside the field of travel and tourism. Studies can be completed at various levels to allow for the training to meet your individual needs and goals. Enrollment options will vary by educational training program, but will help you to enter the same careers. By learning more about travel and tourism degree and certificate options, you can begin training for the career of your dreams.

Education

Different higher education programs offer training in travel and tourism to help prepare you for an exciting career. Studies can be completed at the certificate, associate, bachelor, and master degree levels. Coursework and training can vary but will typically require up to one year for certificate programs. Associate degree programs can take two years to complete. Bachelor degrees will require four years of training, and master degree programs will take an additional two years of study. Training can be completed in order to carry out tasks assisting travelers with reservations, cruises, and much more. You can start by enrolling in a program and discovering the available careers.

Careers

There are many different career choices available for you to choose from when looking to become a professional in his field. accredited studies will help you obtain the information that is needed to work in a variety of places. You can look forward to entering the workforce as a professional:

Travel Clerk
Travel and Tourism Manager
Travel Agents
Travel Coordinators
…and many other related hospitality professions.

Opportunities for employment include working in hotels, property management companies, reservation departments, and various other businesses. By enrolling in an accredited educational training program you can prepare for the career of your dreams by studying various subjects.

Coursework

Training will cover a variety of topics that are related to the level of education being pursued as well as the desired career. You can expect to learn hospitality, accounting, travel destinations, and many other courses related to the field. With an accredited training center you can study bookkeeping, reservation systems, sales techniques, transportation, and more. Training will cover different topics to allow you the chance to receive the quality education that you deserve. Start the path to a new career and find a program that fits your needs and goals.