Three Factors That Will Drive Oil Prices Higher

For the rest of 2016, Moors expects WTI crude oil to trade in a range of around $40 per barrel minimum and rise to a range of $60 per barrel in 2017.
Despite that forecast, the markets have seen near-term fluctuations. In late July, markets reacted to a drop in oil prices. WTI crude oil price fell to $42.41 per barrel, the lowest price since mid-April, when it closed at $39.78. Futures dropped 12.2%. The Brent crude price per barrel was down 11% in late July.

Why such a relatively steep decline? Some analysts are concerned about rising supplies of oil in the United States. You see, the Baker Hughes (NYSE: BHI) oil rig count has been climbing. During July, BHI reported that active rigs were increasing for the four straight weeks.

A rise in rig count during 2015 led to a drop in crude oil prices of 50%. Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) estimates that supply outside of the OPEC producers will climb this year – and that crude prices per barrel will bottom at $35 in 2016.

Moors cautions that the pullback in oil prices is a normal market fluctuation, and oil won’t fall as low as Morgan Stanley predicts.

He cites three reason that support his $50 per barrel price range this year – and a rise to a $60 range for WTI per barrel in 2017.

The first bullish factor for oil prices is peaking worldwide output.

In the early part of the year, output by OPEC hit more than 32 million barrels daily, its highest level in nearly two decades. Output in Russia reached nearly 11 million barrels, the highest level in three decades.

Moors observes that production in the U.S. from shale is reaching a high as well. You see, tight oil wells and shale oil wells pump the majority of their production within the first year and a half.

According to Moors, production of oil by shale drilling, though, becomes expensive. As a result, oil companies are moving to a type of well dubbed “drilled but uncompleted” (DUC). As the term implies, a DUC hasn’t reached its output peak. They still have oil, so oil companies are going back to them.

Why? They are more affordable than other methods of obtaining oil.
DUCs are slowly being used to supplant shale as an oil supply source. The oil companies don’t want more supply flooding the market.

As Moors puts it, “an increase in DUCs doesn’t mean we are approaching some major boost in production. But they also represent another element restraining the slide in prices.”

The second factor supporting a bullish oil price forecast is falling supply due to the financial situation at oil companies. They can’t afford to keep wells working when their product commands just $46 per barrel at the market.

Over the past two years, supply has been on a steady downward march – which Moors estimates will not reverse soon. According to the BHI rig count, active U.S. oil rigs totaled 337 in late June. At its peak two years ago? Rigs totaled approximately 1,600. That’s a whopping decline of nearly 79%.
Because oil rigs can cost between $500,000 to $3 million to operate and maintain, it is not cost-effective to keep them going until crude oil starts to hit $65 per barrel. Production may ramp up when it hits that level. Most companies need WTI crude to be close to $70 per barrel before they hit reasonable profitability.

So, the BHI rig count shows that the oil companies are shutting down more and more oil rigs. Essentially, we will see a dropping count until supply is constrained enough to drive prices higher.

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Healthy Food Tips To Lose Weight

Need Discipline To Reach Goal

Have you ever set a fitness goal but just can’t seem to achieve it? Have you ever created a detailed and strict schedule for your healthy food tips to lose weight? but when it really comes down to execution, you don’t have enough discipline to follow? If your answer is yes to any of these two questions, this article would be worth your time taking to read, of course, if you plan to achieve your goals, and be able to eat ANYTHING you want.

First, we need to answer some important questions, not to me, not to anyone else, but to yourself. Why do you want to keep fit? What do you wish to achieve by keeping fit? Are you worried about your physique because you feel insecure of not getting enough attention from the crowd? Or do you want to be healthy so that you can eventually see your grand kids grow up and be able to do fun activities/spend quality time with them? Or do you wish to reduce the risk of ending up in the hospital bed, in pain?

For the healthy food tips to lose weight, most people have at least one of these 3 main reasons to stay healthy. But let’s face it, we want to be in a good spot for ALL of those reasons. Because if we can, why not?

Eating Healthy Food Tips To Lose Weight

I am going to share with you a secret of how I did it. And you will probably think: “This is so simple, I can’t believe I have not done so.”

There are so many theories on eating healthy food tips to lose weight, it even comes down to you segregating recipes for healthy food, and unhealthy food. Also which exercise regimes to follow, and who or how you want to look like, etc. The key is to keep it simple, and tailored to yourself. Because you are the best at being you. Forget about everything you have seen in the media and do this for yourself.

Natural Food

Basically, a clean food, is a healthy food, it is what your body only wants and NEEDS. What is clean food? Most of the food we eat on a daily basis has been “polluted” with the way it’s been farmed (like pesticides), different kinds of sauces to make it taste “better” (like MSG and factory manufactured sauces), not to mention the oil that’s been used. Go NATURAL. I repeat, NATURAL.

Healthy Food Tips

If you decide to indulge yourself with a piece of cake and think “I can’t afford the calories”, you need to change that mindset ASAP. What kills you is not the piece of cake, but the ingredients used in it. A cookie made with margarine, branded and manufactured chocolates, and white sugar, we all would agree, is a Pandora’s box of calories. But what about a cookie made of butter with less fat, chocolate chips made with real cacao powder (made of at least 50%-70% cacao), and palm sugar? Granted there will be calories, but they are good nutrients that your body wants.

When comes to healthy food tips to lose weight, I always do some research on the food I eat before I even think about putting it in my mouth. Spend some time educating yourself on the different benefits of not just a dish, but down to the natural, real ingredients.

Is it worth it, you might ask? The question is, do YOU think YOU are worth the effort? In the end of the day, you are the most important person to yourself and no amount of work done for yourself can be too much. Food makes up 80% of your shape, exercise only contributes to 20%. Do the math, I’m sure you can. See? I promised it is going to be very simple. And it WORKS. Try it for 2 months and I guarantee that you will see results.

I like to write about subjects that I am interested in. The purpose of my site is to share invaluable information on fat-loss so that you as the reader can benefit from it. I hope that you enjoy the information that I provide. Sign Up and Download FREE eBook Healthy Snack Meals & Recipes In 30 Minutes or Less.

Alcohol and Drugs Cause Extremely Painful Death

The longer one lives, the more adept one becomes at reading the signs. My experience of dying and reincarnation is insight into the role of death and how everyone has returned as we are in the last days. The great population explosion is the result. Many come back to what they knew in their last life and that leads to addictions and a repeat of the same behaviour. Over the years of watching the number of things that cause death has grown and the pain of dying increased as evil is protected.

In these latter years there are far more things to cause addiction than ever. In my young days the war had handicapped the economy and the loss of men required to service industry was great. There were no luxury items available and alcohol and drugs were practically unknown in communities where such would not have been tolerated.

As the populations recovered, however, things took a different turn. A new industrial revolution began with food and alcohol leading the way. These were the chief money cows of the economy until fashion and other things came to the fore. Hollywood showed their audiences how good life can be with addiction to wealth and the use of drugs.

The economy is thriving and the greatest income is made from drugs and fashion. It is now the ‘norm’ for tattoos, body piercings, hard drugs, and other things to be a part of one’s social life. All of these things make cancer and other scenarios possible.

Parties with drugs and alcohol involved often result in brawls, stabbings, and murder. There have been many violent incidences recently in Australia where uninvited guests ordered to leave parties have turned violent. They have killed for the sake of a few free drinks and are now in jail.

There is another more insidious death awaiting users of alcohol and drugs. It has to do with cancer, loss of brain function, or other things like homelessness, inability to work, and rejection by family and society. There are no answers to these problems because what they do is legal and the system is built for making money and putting lives at risk.

Individuals cannot wake up who are constantly seeking more alcohol or drugs to feed their addiction. They are like fish caught on hooks being gathered to another feast of the same. Their ultimate death is often excruciating and lonely and all because of money.

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