How to Profit from the Oil Price Forecast

Moors says the most prudent way to benefit from rising oil prices is to invest in a basket of oil services stocks via an exchange-traded fund (ETF). With an ETF, investors don’t have to worry about futures contracts. ETFs can be purchased and sold as easily as individual stocks.

His top pick to benefit from the forecast ranges is the VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF (NYSE Arca: OIH). OIH holds 25 oil stocks. The top two alone are expected to post impressive returns over the next year. Those two are Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB) and Halliburton (NYSE: HAL). In the next 12 months, SLB is estimated to reach $90.29 per share and HAL is forecast to reach $50.61. From today’s prices, those targets translate to share price increases of 14% and 18%, respectively.

OIH closely follows the MVIS U.S. Listed Oil Services 25 Index, which tracks the largest 25 U.S. oil field services companies. Some of these, like SLB and HAL, are the largest oil services companies globally as well, with market capitalization of more than $100 billion each.

The exposure to the 25 biggest oil services firms means that investors don’t bear the risk of investing in small oil services companies in a range-bound oil price climate. Larger firms will make it through the oil company debt crisis in all likelihood. Smaller companies are more at risk of being acquired or succumbing to bankruptcy. Those small companies should be avoided now.

Investors can also benefit from the climbing price of oil long term through two other funds. One is the United States Oil Fund LP (NYSE: USO). The second is the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (NYSE: XOP), which allows investors to gain exposure in a group of oil exploration and production companies.

Investors who want a stock to play the oil price increase are advised to buy one of Moors’ picks to benefit from its position in the pipeline, Genesis Energy LP (NYSE: GEL). Houston-based GEL is a master limited partnership (MLP).

Roughly 90% of MLP revenue comes from oil and gas. Midstream MLPs connect refiners and producers via the transportation and storage of oil.
Because they are not out in the fields exploring and pumping the wells, the transportation and storage provider MLPs benefit from rising prices, but have far less exposure to any downside in the oil patch than oil producers do.

GEL shares currently trade at $36.36. Its one-year price target, according to Thomson Reuters, is $41.25. That’s a 13% price increase.

The other upside to GEL is a very strong dividend. It is currently 7.66% – impressively better than the 2.1% average yield of the S&P 500 dividend payers.

Summer, Travel and Medication – Part 6 – Motion Sickness and Jetlag

For extra sensitive persons prevention of motion sickness through medication can be considered. H1-antihistamines, having an anti-emetic effect are used for this purpose. They have to be taken ½ to 1 hour before the journey starts and in longer travels it can be considered to take an extra dose after six hours. It is very important to stress that these types of medication cannot be taken by pregnant women. Small children under the age of two years should not be given any anti motion sickness medication either. It is a fact that motion sickness does not regularly occur in young children any way. Be very careful as well when driving a vehicle when under the influence of the medication: it has a very sedative affect and you could fall asleep behind the wheel of your car. Same restrictions apply if you are working with heavy power tools: the danger here is that the medication affects your ability to concentrate, with possible serious accidents as a consequence.

Jet Lag

A recent article in The Lancet shows once again that there is no one remedy to counteract or prevent jet lag. Some people advice melatonin, next to a lot of measures, not involving medication. There is a lot of conflicting evidence to be found when researching the effects of melatonin on jet lag. Sometimes a favorable effect is reported in the scientific literature and sometimes no effects at all are reported. What to think about that? Fact is however that there is very little known about the safety of using melatonin. Some studies show it to have an effect on the medication that prevents the blood from coagulating prematurely. Some countries have banned the use of melatonin in drugs all together. So as always: when in doubt consult your family doctor who will advise you what best to do.

This was part 6 of a series of 6 articles about travel and medication. The other parts being: Part 1 Vaccinations – Part 2 Travelers diarrhea – Part 3 Lyme’s disease – Part 4 mountain sickness and heat stroke – Part 5 Malaria – Part 6 motion sickness and jet lag.

What’s Next for Oil Prices in 2016 and 2017

Oil prices surged during the first half of 2016. In February, the price of the U.S. benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) hit a historic low of $26.21, but it rose more than 50% in the following months. The global benchmark, Brent crude, followed a very similar pattern in the first half of 2016.

Oil PricesDespite price fluctuations in June and July, Money Morning Global Energy Strategist Dr. Kent Moors believes the WTI crude oil price is currently in a sustainable range and could hit the mid-$50 per barrel by the end of 2016.

He forecasts that WTI crude oil prices will climb to the low $60 per barrel range in 2017 and sees Brent oil prices per barrel in the mid $60s next year.

Before we get into why our Money Morning oil price prediction shows these double-digit gains in 2017, here’s a recap of the 2016 price fluctuations…

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